Team Overview
Four factors, scoring identity, and the season-long shape of Indiana's offense and defense.
Paint points (21st pct.) and 2nd-chance points (10th pct.) both lag the league — a direct byproduct of Indiana's bottom-5-percentile offensive rebounding rate. This is a jump-shooting, guard-built offense more than a pound-the-paint one.
- Lead-guard offense through Shay Ciezki — high-usage, efficient, and a true table-setter (647 poss, 1.09 PPP, 94 AST)
- Elite spacing and shot-making from Maya Makalusky — 1.103 PPP on a 75%-from-three diet
- Excellent transition offense — 1.046 PPP, 57.4% eFG, paced by Makalusky and Zania Socka-Nguemen pushing the floor
- Multiple half-court answers — graded excellent vs. man, very good vs. zone defense
- Strong free-throw shooting (79.8%) keeps possessions alive when shots aren't falling
- Transition defense is the single biggest red flag — 1.000 PPP allowed, Poor (11th pct. in Big Ten)
- Turnovers are a team-wide issue, not isolated to one player — 14.6 TO/game and elevated rates up and down the roster
- Offense is top-heavy — outside of Ciezki/Makalusky, the next tier (Beaumont 0.907 PPP, Caffey 0.866 PPP) is merely solid
- Offensive rebounding is a bottom-5-percentile weakness (23.4% ORB%) that compounds the 2nd-chance scoring gap
- Bench production is uneven — Phoenix Stotjin's 0.455 PPP profile is a clear soft spot in reserve minutes
Player Profiles
Ten rotation players, ranked by offensive usage. Each card pairs the box score with actionable coverage notes.
How She Scores
- 647 offensive possessions used — by far the heaviest shot-creation load on the team
- 44.4% on 178 three-point attempts; comfortable shooting off movement and the catch
- 91.4% FT shooter on 116 attempts — draws contact and cashes in
- Biggest individual load in transition and still effective; sets up Makalusky in early offense
- 94 assists against 107 TOs (0.88 AST/TO) — facilitates without ceding her own shot
How to Guard Her
- Load coverage toward her on every possession — make the secondary creators beat you instead
- Make her work over screens repeatedly; soft coverage lets her play in rhythm
- Force the ball out of her hands early in the clock — she's not just a scorer, the offense runs through her
- Never foul her at the arc or off movement (91.4% FT) — closeouts should be controlled, not desperate
- Get bodies on her in transition before the secondary break forms
How She Scores
- 75% of her field goal attempts come from three — elite floor-spacing profile
- Sprints to space in transition (~1.22 PPP) rather than waiting for half-court structure
- High catch-and-shoot value off relocation and ball reversals, not a high-usage shot creator
- 58.8% eFG despite the heavy three-point diet — she's not a low-value gunner
- Limited on-ball creation (only 10 AST on 281 poss) — value is almost entirely as a release valve
How to Guard Her
- Top-lock or hard chase off every screen — do not allow a clean catch-and-shoot look
- Make her put the ball on the floor into traffic; she is far less comfortable creating than catching
- Locate her specifically in transition before sprinting back — she'll find the arc immediately
- Acceptable to help off her only in short, controlled doses given her limited shot creation
- Don't assume she's a non-factor defensively — she's a good individual defender, not a target
How She Scores
- 471 possessions used — Indiana's #2 offensive load behind Ciezki
- 37.6% on 125 three-point attempts; legitimate movement and spot-up shooter
- 86.3% FT shooter — draws and converts contact reliably
- 87 assists — helps organize offense when Ciezki rests or is denied the ball
- Strong in transition (~0.99 PPP) — runs the floor as a secondary ball-mover
How to Guard Her
- Top point-of-attack target among the starters — hunt switches and isolations onto her
- Force her to finish over length; her efficiency drops without a clean driving lane
- Make her create multiple reads under ball pressure rather than letting her play simple catch-and-go
- Closeouts can be slightly more aggressive than against Ciezki/Makalusky — she's good, not elite, from three
- Don't help excessively off her on the perimeter; she'll punish open catch-and-shoot windows
How She Scores
- Secondary ball handler with real downhill ability and 75 assists on the season
- 40.5% from three on limited volume (37 attempts) — capable but not yet a high-frequency shooter
- 314 offensive possessions used — a real share of the offense, particularly off the bench/second unit
- Transition offense numbers graded poorly in the underlying data — not her best avenue to score
How to Guard Her
- Crowd decision windows and force tough pull-ups rather than clean catch-and-shoot threes
- Live-ball pressure is worthwhile — 20.1% TO rate is the second-highest among regular ball handlers
- Respect drives more than the catch-and-shoot — her value skews downhill, not floor-spacing
- Average individual defender — neither a hunting target nor a player to avoid attacking
How She Scores
- Rim-finishing big — 58.0% eFG, almost entirely at-the-rim and short-range value
- Team-leading 51 offensive rebounds — second-chance points and put-backs are a real part of her profile
- Turnover-prone in the post (25.6% TO%) against physical or doubling coverage
- Not a floor-spacer — limited value if forced away from the basket
How to Guard Her
- Box out aggressively — she is the single biggest offensive-rebounding priority on the floor
- Crowd catches in the post; her turnover rate climbs under physical, doubling pressure
- Mid-tier crunch-time foul target (68.3% FT) if the priority targets (Stotjin, Ondineme) are off the floor
- Respect her as a help defender and shot-blocker — she's a Good individual defender, not a free target
How She Scores
- Post-up big with strong efficiency (60.6% eFG) — purely a two-point, interior scorer (zero 3PA on the season)
- One of Indiana's best transition weapons (~1.25 PPP) — runs the floor and finishes early
- 30 offensive rebounds — second priority box-out target behind Noyan
- 23.6% turnover rate against set, physical post defense
How to Guard Her
- Sit on direct post lines and make catches difficult — force her into one more dribble than she wants
- Get back in transition specifically against her — she's a clear early-offense weapon
- Crash the boards hard; she's a high-effort offensive rebounder
- Solid individual defender — not a player to deliberately hunt on switches
How She Scores
- Some shot-creation ability and 40 assists, but overall efficiency (0.78 PPP) is below the rotation average
- 28.6% on low three-point volume (14 attempts) — not a consistent floor-spacer
- 29.7% turnover rate is a structural issue — the highest on the team
How to Guard Her
- Make her a contested jump shooter — force her into second-side, lower-value decisions
- Top defensive hunt target on the roster — involve her repeatedly in switches and isolations
- Mid-tier crunch-time foul target (69.0% FT) when priority targets are unavailable
- Pressure her decision-making — her turnover rate suggests she folds under sustained ball pressure
How She Scores
- Low-turnover role player (9.4% TO%) — values possessions and takes what the defense gives
- Decent catch-and-shoot utility (33.3% on 36 three-point attempts)
- 87.5% FT shooter — efficient when fouled, a non-target late
- Lower-volume piece overall — complementary, not a primary scoring threat
How to Guard Her
- Can be helped off more selectively than Indiana's top two shooters — lower volume, lower threat level
- Don't bother fouling her intentionally late — 87.5% FT is among the team's best
- Small sample but a Very Good defensive number — don't assume she's a soft target on switches
How She Scores
- Very limited offensive value (0.455 PPP) — not a player opponents need to game-plan around offensively
- 12.8% from three on real volume (39 attempts) — closeouts can be conceded almost entirely
- 28.2% turnover rate — pressure compounds an already-inefficient profile
How to Guard Her
- Play off her entirely beyond 10 feet — live with anything she shoots from outside
- #1 priority intentional-foul target in late-game situations — 53.8% FT, lowest EPP on the roster among regulars
- Below-average individual defender (0.851 PPP allowed) — also a hunting target on the other end
- Free up help responsibilities elsewhere by sagging off her aggressively
How She Scores
- Purely an interior finisher (52.4% eFG, all attempts inside) in a small offensive sample
- 19 offensive rebounds in limited minutes — disproportionate impact on the glass
- 31.4% turnover rate — struggles with the ball against physical post pressure
How to Guard Her
- Box out — disproportionate offensive rebounding for her minutes played
- #2 crunch-time foul target (57.1% FT, 1.14 EPP) when Stotjin is off the floor
- Crowd post touches; her turnover rate climbs fast under doubles
- Below-average individual defender — a viable hunting target alongside Beaumont and Kiaku
Faith Wiseman (F, 6'4", So, 14 GP) and Chloe Spreen (G, 5'10", So, 10 GP) play sparingly. Both graded Poor defensively on small samples (Wiseman 0.970 PPP allowed; Spreen limited data) and offer little offensive value at this point — situational fouls only if either is on the floor late (Wiseman 50.0% FT, Spreen 42.9% FT).
Shot Zones
Where Indiana scores best — and where the defense leaks the most efficiency.
| Zone | FG% | % of Attempts | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| At Rim | 64.9%95th | 27.9% | Elite finishing inside — one of the best at-rim numbers in the conference |
| Paint (non-rim) 2s | 44.1%89th | 23.1% | Strong floater/short-range game complements the rim finishing |
| Mid-Range 2s | 40.8%96th | 13.2% | Elite mid-range efficiency, though low volume relative to other zones |
| Above-the-Break 3s | 37.4%99th | 26.4% | The best zone in their arsenal by percentile — Ciezki and Makalusky live here |
| Corner 3s | 37.6%85th | 9.5% | Excellent corner shooting on lower volume — don't help into the corner |
Indiana is elite-efficient in every single shooting zone by Big Ten percentile. There is no soft spot to funnel them toward shot-quality wise — the only lever is volume and shot quality (contested vs. open), not zone selection.
| Zone | FG% Allowed | % of Opp. Attempts | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| At Rim | 61.9%13th | 28.7% | Biggest defensive leak. Rim protection is a clear weakness — attack downhill |
| Paint (non-rim) 2s | 35.4%74th | 24.2% | Solid containment on floaters and short-range looks |
| Mid-Range 2s | 35.0%22nd | 17.9% | Below-average mid-range defense relative to the conference |
| Above-the-Break 3s | 29.4%64th | 23.7% | Good defense on the most common three-point shot type |
| Corner 3s | 37.5%11th | 5.5% | Second leak. Corner three defense is a clear bottom-of-the-conference weakness |
The two clearest attack windows defensively are the rim (61.9% allowed, 13th pct.) and the corner three (37.5% allowed, 11th pct.) — both well below league average. Indiana defends mid-range and above-the-break threes at a respectable level, so the priority shots are downhill drives and skip passes to the corner, not standstill jumpers.
| Zone | IND Offense | IND Defense (Allowed) | Net Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| At Rim | 64.9% | 61.9% | Vulnerable both ways |
| Paint 2s | 44.1% | 35.4% | Defended better than they shoot it |
| Mid-Range 2s | 40.8% | 35.0% | Even, slight offensive edge |
| Above-Break 3s | 37.4% | 29.4% | Defended better than they shoot it |
| Corner 3s | 37.6% | 37.5% | Vulnerable both ways |
The rim and the corner three are the two zones where Indiana is simultaneously elite on offense and poor on defense — meaning these are exactly the shots a smart opponent should be hunting, while expecting Indiana to hunt them right back.
Key Lineups
Five-man unit performance by possession volume, drawn from the season's most-used combinations.
Game Plan
Prioritized actions for beating Indiana, organized by tier.
Shay Ciezki's rhythm in transition and on ball screens
Load coverage toward her on every action. Make her work over every screen and force the ball out early in the clock — soft coverage lets Indiana's entire offense play in rhythm through her.
Maya Makalusky's catch-and-shoot windows
75% of her attempts come from three at 37.6%. Top-lock her off screens and deny clean relocation catches — make her put it on the floor into traffic instead.
Win the turnover and transition battle
Indiana's transition defense allows 1.000 PPP (Poor, 11th pct.) — the single clearest exploit in the data. Push pace relentlessly off makes, misses, and especially live-ball turnovers before their shell is set.
Control the offensive glass
Indiana owns the league's 5th-percentile offensive rebounding rate but also allows a below-average 31.5% opponent ORB%. Crash the boards hard — second-chance points are sitting right there for the taking.
Attack the rim and the corner three
Indiana allows 61.9% at the rim (13th pct.) and 37.5% on corner threes (11th pct.) — both clear bottom-of-the-conference numbers. Downhill drives and skip passes to the corner are the two highest-value shots available.
Hunt switches onto Beaumont, Stotjin, Kiaku, and Ondineme
All four graded Below Average or Poor defensively (0.851–0.954 PPP allowed). Force these matchups specifically through screening actions and isolations.
Apply ball pressure to force turnovers
Kiaku (29.7%), Stotjin (28.2%), Noyan (25.6%), and Socka-Nguemen (23.6%) all carry elevated turnover rates. Pressure catches, shrink driving lanes, and crowd second-side reads.
Foul intentionally in crunch time, in priority order
Stotjin (53.8% FT) and Ondineme (57.1% FT) are the clear top targets — both have Expected Points Per Possession under 1.15 if sent to the line. Noyan (68.3%) and Kiaku (69.0%) are secondary options.
The Ciezki + Makalusky combined value
1.09 and 1.103 PPP, respectively — if both get going simultaneously, Indiana can beat anyone in the conference on a given night. Disrupting both together is the single biggest lever in the game plan.
The starting five's heavy minute share
Ciezki-Beaumont-Caffey-Makalusky-Noyan (+14.2 Net Rtg) logs the bulk of available possessions. Have specific actions ready for this exact group rather than generic Indiana coverage.
Coaches Notes
Quick-reference splits and rankings for staff use during prep and in-game adjustments.
| Coverage | Share | PPP Allowed | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man Defense | 97.3% | 0.831 | Poor (11th) |
| Zone Defense | 2.7% | 0.869 | Below Avg (28th) |
| Press | 3.0% | 0.725 | Average (44th) |
Indiana plays almost exclusively man-to-man (97.3% of defensive possessions). Zone and press are rarely used and shouldn't be game-planned for as a primary look.
| Situation | PPP Allowed | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Transition | 1.000 | Poor (11th) |
| Half Court | 0.832 | Poor (12th) |
| Last 4 Sec. Shot Clock | 0.517 | Excellent (90th) |
A team that defends the shot clock's final seconds at an elite level but bleeds points in transition — the gap between those two numbers is the clearest situational tell in the data.
Indiana's offense is rated Excellent against man-to-man and Very Good against zone defense — they are not a one-dimensional unit that can be neutralized by a single defensive scheme. Multiple actions (Ciezki ball screens, Makalusky relocation, Beaumont/Caffey secondary creation, Noyan/Socka-Nguemen interior touches) all function independently of the defensive look faced.
| Player | 3PT% | Attempts | Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shay Ciezki | 44.4% | 178 | Top priority — volume and efficiency both elite |
| 2 | Maya Makalusky | 37.6% | 170 | 75% of her shot diet — deny the catch entirely |
| 3 | Lenee Beaumont | 37.6% | 125 | Secondary threat, still a real number on volume |
| 4 | Nevaeh Caffey | 40.5% | 37 | Efficient but low volume — monitor, don't overreact |
| Player | FT% | EPP* | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Stotjin | 53.8% | 1.08 |
| 2 | Jade Ondineme | 57.1% | 1.14 |
| 3 | Edessa Noyan | 68.3% | 1.37 |
| 4 | Jerni Kiaku | 69.0% | 1.38 |
*EPP = FT% × 2, the expected points from sending to the line on two shots. Lower is a better foul target. All four sit well below Indiana's 0.94 team PPP.
| Player | OREB | Note | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edessa Noyan | 51 | Clear #1 priority — well clear of the rest of the roster |
| 2 | Zania Socka-Nguemen | 30 | Second priority when on the floor |
| 3 | Jade Ondineme | 19 | Disproportionate to her limited minutes |
| 3 | Nevaeh Caffey | 19 | Tied — a guard crashing the glass, don't lose her |